• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1398

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Mon Jul 3 00:11:40 2023
    ACUS11 KWNS 030011
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 030010=20
    PAZ000-WVZ000-OHZ000-030145-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1398
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0710 PM CDT Sun Jul 02 2023

    Areas affected...Northwest/central/southeast OH into the northern WV
    Panhandle and southwest PA

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 432...

    Valid 030010Z - 030145Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 432
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Some threat for isolated damaging gusts continues, but a
    gradual weakening trend is expected later this evening.

    DISCUSSION...A small bowing cluster is ongoing near Columbus, OH
    this evening, with other strong storms noted over northwest and
    southeast OH. A mid/upper-level shortwave trough moving across IN
    will help to sustain convection for much of the evening, with storms potentially spreading into parts of west-central/southwest PA.
    Moderate buoyancy and marginally sufficient deep-layer shear will
    continue to support a threat of stronger storms with locally
    damaging gusts in the short term. However, weakening MLCAPE and
    increasing MLCINH with time are expected to result in a gradual
    weakening trend later this evening as convection spreads eastward.

    WW 432 is scheduled to expire at 01 UTC. With stronger convection
    likely to be nearly out of the watch by this time, and only an
    isolated threat expected downstream, new watch issuance is not
    anticipated.

    ..Dean.. 07/03/2023

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!603Yj0JWYN34b1PU2t2XfbNeT2uTjFcq7k7ZtvmrZRa8OBnE4LJw9Rlzz8dADubXjDayG4JLx= hXsJ4e4FO8PIs3JAO4$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...PBZ...RLX...CLE...ILN...IWX...

    LAT...LON 39788013 39728265 40328341 40848455 41528430 41578386
    40848316 40448085 40378019 39788013=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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