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  • MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1314

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Wed Jun 28 00:26:37 2023
    ACUS11 KWNS 280026
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 280026=20
    SDZ000-NEZ000-KSZ000-280230-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1314
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0726 PM CDT Tue Jun 27 2023

    Areas affected...portions of central SD/NE into north-central KS.

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible=20

    Valid 280026Z - 280230Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent

    SUMMARY...Ongoing storms upstream may continue to pose a risk for
    large hail and severe gusts into this evening. One or more
    downstream watches are being considered.

    DISCUSSION...Over the last 2 hours, multiple clusters of strong to
    severe storms across portions of western SD and NE have matured,
    with reports of severe wind gusts and large to very large hail. As
    storms continue to track eastward, the environment downstream
    remains generally favorable for storm maintenance with moderate
    buoyancy, but some lingering inhibition. This suggests there may be
    an eastern limit to severe potential, but exactly where remains
    uncertain. 45-55 kt of effective shear will continue to support
    storm organization with recent trends suggesting upscale growth into
    one or more clusters is possible. Large hail and severe wind gusts
    will remain possible with these storms as they track eastward across
    SD and NE. One or more downstream, watches may be needed to cover
    the threat this evening.

    ..Lyons/Guyer.. 06/28/2023

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!9A5Plf4-ifU1YXxt_gSic_Y6norGog_npg0-Bi-Yq6hkEijzZBM8i6fOQhpGnPwbdZyOzT26u= aQZws3RYOYISn80v-I$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...FSD...OAX...ABR...GID...LBF...UNR...GLD...

    LAT...LON 43169761 41939812 39719895 39239936 39269977 39459994
    39740015 42700078 44660102 45160122 45280105 45340077
    45409956 45219841 44649789 43889756 43169761=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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