• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1297

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Tue Jun 27 04:03:29 2023
    ACUS11 KWNS 270403
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 270402=20
    MDZ000-VAZ000-270600-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1297
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    1102 PM CDT Mon Jun 26 2023

    Areas affected...Southeastern Virginia into the Delmarva Peninsula

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 395...

    Valid 270402Z - 270600Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 395
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Local severe risk continues across southeastern Virginia
    and into the Delmarva Peninsula, where thunderstorms continue moving
    eastward across WW 395.

    DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows a cluster of vigorous storms
    moving across southeastern Virginia west of Chesapeake Bay, with
    more isolated storms extending eastward across the Bay into southern
    parts of the Delmarva Peninsula. Across this area, moderate
    instability persists per RAP-based objective analysis, and given
    moderate southwesterly flow through a deep layer (per recent AKQ
    WSR-88D VWP), sufficient for organized convection, occasional/local
    increases in storm intensity above severe levels will be possible
    over the next couple of hours.

    ..Goss.. 06/27/2023

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!5o4stSYZBqLOWLBVu_akLaTVrdjGaSyhxks_F53R2Mg2_BCSxgvqqEyTUlAq7L9Y2MVpng16G= FZAuPElNW5LKOpltwI$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...AKQ...

    LAT...LON 36557686 36577826 36977782 37297689 38197576 38417526
    38367466 36567547 36557686=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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