• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1275

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Mon Jun 26 06:27:18 2023
    ACUS11 KWNS 260627
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 260626=20
    ARZ000-LAZ000-TXZ000-OKZ000-260800-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1275
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0126 AM CDT Mon Jun 26 2023

    Areas affected...Southeast OK...Southern AR...Far Northern
    LA...Extreme Northeast TX

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 385...

    Valid 260626Z - 260800Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 385
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorms are expected to persist for at least
    the next few hours across the region, and an additional watch will
    be needed.

    DISCUSSION...Regional radar imagery shows ongoing thunderstorm in a
    northwest to southeast corridor across southern AR, just to the
    north of a slow-moving outflow boundary. Limited low-level
    convergence along this boundary, coupled with ample low-level
    moisture and steep mid-level lapse rates, is expected to support
    strong to severe thunderstorms throughout the morning. Some
    additional development appears possible back farther west into
    southeast OK.=20

    Expectation is for this corridor of storms to slowly sag southward
    over time. Given the strong buoyancy and shear in place, occasional
    updrafts will likely be strong enough to produce large hail. A few
    stronger downdrafts capable of penetrating the shallow low-level
    stability are possible as well. Severe Thunderstorm Watch 385 will
    expire at 07Z, and an additional watch will be needed over the
    region, with some southward extension, to cover the continuing
    severe-storm threat.

    ..Mosier/Edwards.. 06/26/2023

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!7pnCeyLe89PDYQxqVTvdQNsoN5X9SyNxNkVjIjwkBSqOVqPRaskr9oPeD7BXkOkdCSmD3y4wC= xjJ0ec02ZcCRJYnyCA$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...JAN...LZK...SHV...TSA...FWD...

    LAT...LON 33469499 34069558 34839569 34859469 33899157 32849139
    32889356 33469499=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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