• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1274

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Mon Jun 26 05:54:46 2023
    ACUS11 KWNS 260554
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 260554=20
    TNZ000-VAZ000-KYZ000-260730-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1274
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    1254 AM CDT Mon Jun 26 2023

    Areas affected...Middle/Eastern TN

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 388...

    Valid 260554Z - 260730Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 388
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Local extension of Severe Thunderstorm Watch 388 as the
    threat for damaging gusts expands into more of eastern TN.

    DISCUSSION...An organized convective line continues to push
    southeastward across northern middle and eastern TN, with recent
    storm motion estimated at 37 kt. Strong to severe gusts have been
    reported within this line over the past hour, including a 51 kt gust
    at EKQ. The downstream air mass is characterized by ample low-level
    moisture, steep mid-level lapse rates, and 40 to 50 kt of 0-6 km
    bulk shear. Bulk shear vector is also north-northwesterly, which is
    orientated favorably for downstream propagation of the east-west
    line. This factors suggest some severe potential will continue with
    this line for at least the next hour or two. Current storm motion
    takes the ongoing line to the edge of the watch around 0630Z, and
    local extension may be warranted to cover the anticipated severe
    threat into more of eastern TN.

    ..Mosier.. 06/26/2023

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!5UVTBNOrva723tZZ5gAaRjjaF2cV2uydzdMCogRhRTrMShDyeUiBBCELUWSanMjAEOSbq9gIe= s3GGaBk20BHYOBjZd8$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...MRX...JKL...LMK...OHX...

    LAT...LON 36858672 36688458 36948320 35878324 35168449 35398601
    35768697 36858672=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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