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  • MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1270

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Mon Jun 26 01:18:14 2023
    ACUS11 KWNS 260118
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 260117=20
    TNZ000-KYZ000-260315-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1270
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0817 PM CDT Sun Jun 25 2023

    Areas affected...Central and eastern Kentucky...middle and eastern
    Tennessee

    Concerning...Tornado Watch 379...

    Valid 260117Z - 260315Z

    The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 379 continues.

    SUMMARY...Strong/severe thunderstorms over northern Kentucky will
    move southeast through the remainder of this evening with a
    continued risk for damaging winds, large hail, and perhaps a tornado
    or two. A downstream watch is likely prior to 03z.

    DISCUSSION...Strong/severe thunderstorms continue along the Ohio
    River across northern Kentucky and extreme southern Indiana at
    0110z. These storms have produced scattered reports of large hail
    over the past hour. Latest mesoanalysis shows gradually increasing
    CINH across eastern portions of Kentucky/Tennessee in the wake of
    earlier storms/convective outflow, with the greatest instability
    (MLCAPE in excess of 2500 J/kg) across south-central Kentucky and
    middle Tennessee. As storms continue to develop and evolve into
    clusters/short line segments, the risk for damaging winds, hail and
    perhaps a tornado or two will likely increase to the southeast and
    south of ongoing storms. Despite the increasing inhibition, some
    severe potential may exist over eastern Kentucky/Tennessee this
    evening, with greater potential across south-central Kentucky south
    into middle Tennessee.

    Trends are being monitored for a Severe Thunderstorm Watch prior to
    03z.

    ..Bunting/Guyer.. 06/26/2023

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!-_JWL4bwtbcazynbwjdeWtdk5-Gzw8o-DIi5bver-VLNLeXA7gkovbf03OAeS5c8xUNixLJCs= GbwVQAGKKL99Tgf9q8$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...MRX...JKL...ILN...LMK...OHX...PAH...

    LAT...LON 37618653 38368535 38348470 38248425 37838392 37358388
    36708387 35568473 35388563 35888690 36788734 37618653=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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