• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1243

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sat Jun 24 20:39:39 2023
    ACUS11 KWNS 242039
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 242039=20
    IAZ000-242245-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1243
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0339 PM CDT Sat Jun 24 2023

    Areas affected...Parts of central and eastern Iowa

    Concerning...Tornado Watch 370...

    Valid 242039Z - 242245Z

    The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 370 continues.

    SUMMARY...The threat for large hail, tornadoes, and damaging winds
    will continue this afternoon. The main risk will be in parts of
    southeastern Iowa in the next 1-2 hours.

    DISCUSSION...Winds in southwestern Iowa have veered to
    southwesterly. This trend continues to expand into parts of central
    Iowa as well. Where this has occurred, the tornado threat has
    decreased. Convection continues into northeast Iowa this afternoon.
    However, anvil debris and only partially modified outflow have kept
    buoyancy less than in southern/southeastern Iowa. Large hail and a
    brief tornado remain possible with the strongest storms.

    The primary area of tornado risk for the next 1-2 hours will likely
    exist with storms in south-central/southeastern Iowa. Here,
    buoyancy, storm mode, and low-level shear remain favorable.

    As storms progress farther into eastern Iowa, they will encounter
    decreasing moisture and increasing temperatures. While the tornado
    threat will decrease with eastward extent, large hail and damaging
    winds could still occur.

    ..Wendt.. 06/24/2023

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!5SEkPn8kJ7ngedyNAgPm4K0KkfOWr-Fo9gpT5InS6zl9hGI8ItoFdwMdq7SRqvxADzxjjB_KD= 3MH8ChJ4Mqc4Z5SqOQ$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...DVN...ARX...DMX...

    LAT...LON 40899301 41559347 42879361 43329320 43449221 43239181
    42519169 41399186 41089188 40879243 40899301=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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