ACUS11 KWNS 240011
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 240010=20
TXZ000-240215-

Mesoscale Discussion 1227
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0710 PM CDT Fri Jun 23 2023

Areas affected...parts of East Texas

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 364...

Valid 240010Z - 240215Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 364
continues.

SUMMARY...Local risk for strong/severe wind gusts, and large hail,
continues in/near WW 364.

DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows that the cluster of storms --
in the vicinity of TYR-GGG -- moving quickly southeastward across
East Texas, has weakened a bit over the past hour. Still,
strong/gusty winds are possible ahead of this cluster. Meanwhile, a
more isolated cell has developed northeast of CRS, that is drifting
slowly south-southeastward. This storm currently appears capable of
producing hail near severe levels.=20

Despite the signs of new storm development near the primary axis of
instability (3000 to 3500 J/kg mixed-layer CAPE), overall convective
trends over the next 1 to 2 hours should be steady to gradually
downward, as diurnal stabilization commences and the low-level jet
increase remains well west of this area.

..Goss.. 06/24/2023

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!5dtKbcJrXNpX8udfLNXkBEP49KHX2W9yT4oboBmaGS0bkmsAeVPERN5GrWmBy6cexaYSTAjNg= vxeG9M3F3BdabNjkJA$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...SHV...FWD...

LAT...LON 31929681 32319652 32889569 32519523 31779494 31579610
31929681=20


=3D =3D =3D
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