• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1119

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sat Jun 17 01:41:32 2023
    ACUS11 KWNS 170141
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 170140=20
    FLZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-170345-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1119
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0840 PM CDT Fri Jun 16 2023

    Areas affected...southern Alabama and Mississippi into the western
    Florida Panhandle.

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 320...

    Valid 170140Z - 170345Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 320
    continues.

    SUMMARY...The risk for large hail and damaging winds continues
    across WW320. Damaging wind potential may be increasing across
    southwest AL in the next 1-2 hours.

    DISCUSSION...Ongoing severe storms across portions of WW320 have
    continued to maintain intensity with numerous reports of large hail
    from supercells in northwest and southeastern MS. The severe risk
    will likely continue this evening with large buoyancy and vertical
    shear still plentiful for organized supercells capable of large to
    very large hail. The second cluster of storms across western AL have
    grown upscale over the last hour. Hints of a bowing structure and
    stronger radial velocities aloft suggest the cold pool is likely
    intensifying, aiding in further upscale growth. Vertical shear and
    buoyancy remain favorable for strong updraft maintenance this
    evening with an increasing risk for damaging winds in addition to
    hail across portions of southwestern AL over the next couple of
    hours.

    ..Lyons.. 06/17/2023

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!_FaXps_yu21YG2BM3-oZUVpsJs11iUFaA6oxLs9IeWntwHYVC7_TpswVwRKHWXo8g8jpftpeq= ed3m4NQb1ZIejVCp2E$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...TAE...BMX...MOB...MEG...JAN...LIX...

    LAT...LON 32758714 31598640 31058625 30688625 30358635 30248726
    30098826 30138882 30428908 31908962 32769036 33009076
    33239093 33749093 33969069 32758714=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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