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  • MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1112

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Fri Jun 16 20:50:03 2023
    ACUS11 KWNS 162049
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 162049=20
    MDZ000-VAZ000-162145-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1112
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0349 PM CDT Fri Jun 16 2023

    Areas affected...portions of southern Virginia

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 318...

    Valid 162049Z - 162145Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 318
    continues.

    SUMMARY...The severe threat will continue across Severe Thunderstorm
    Watch 318 until storms move offshore. Damaging gusts and large hail
    remain the primary threats.

    DISCUSSION...Multiple transient supercells, with a history of severe
    hail and damaging gusts, have recently merged into multiple
    multicellular complexes. These multicell-complexes share a cold pool
    which is surging toward the VA/NC border per recent scans of the
    KAKQ radar at 0.5 degree elevation. As such, these outflow-dominant
    storms may continue producing strong wind gusts and perhaps an
    instance or two of large hail before moving offshore.=20

    Farther to the northwest, weaker and more isolated storms will move
    into northwestern portions of Severe Thunderstorm Watch 318.
    Questions remain regarding how strong these storms will ultimately
    become given the overturned airmass left behind by the earlier
    storms. As such, the greatest severe threat within the watch appears
    to be across southern Virginia with the ongoing multicellular
    complexes.

    ..Squitieri.. 06/16/2023

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!687f_RKcYrXoGgABtgBR1z68UROQ9xfLU05BlM0KiL9aZa4GEOVtrUExJ9g9v8Z5aIYQC81D5= fBK4xwevwY-fIjT390$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...AKQ...LWX...RNK...

    LAT...LON 36937865 37837819 38347767 38527716 38497588 38247556
    37567551 36977568 36707595 36597636 36607722 36567831
    36607854 36937865=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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