ACUS11 KWNS 161927
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 161927=20
FLZ000-162200-

Mesoscale Discussion 1108
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0227 PM CDT Fri Jun 16 2023

Areas affected...portions of the central Florida Peninsula

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 161927Z - 162200Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

SUMMARY...A couple of damaging gusts are possible this afternoon.
The severe threat should remain isolated and a WW issuance is not
expected.

DISCUSSION...Several pulse cellular storms have developed along the
leading edge of a density current from a remnant MCS which
dissipated across the FL panhandle earlier today. While this density
current will act as a source of lift for scattered to widespread
thunderstorm development through the afternoon, vertical shear will
remain quite weak ahead of the storms. When also considering modest
mid-level lapse rates, the main threat with the stronger storms
would be a couple of damaging gusts. Since the overall severe threat
is expected to be isolated, a WW issuance is not anticipated.

..Squitieri.. 06/16/2023

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!7Nu9OaX3bk1Mso55in1bJQBSkZaLg3uzG5hWJB6XCu0N6-5xZsaC9VTF2UNK2FneoZlACf1V6= pC6yPi7-6qJZzrmxQY$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MFL...MLB...TBW...

LAT...LON 27938283 28648214 28798139 28368067 27428021 26958015
26738049 26748132 26788193 27158249 27938283=20


=3D =3D =3D
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