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  • MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1088

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Fri Jun 16 00:11:19 2023
    ACUS11 KWNS 160011
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 160010=20
    OKZ000-KSZ000-TXZ000-160215-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1088
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0710 PM CDT Thu Jun 15 2023

    Areas affected...south-central Kansas and northwestern Oklahoma

    Concerning...Tornado Watch 307...

    Valid 160010Z - 160215Z

    The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 307 continues.

    SUMMARY...A significant severe weather threat, including all hazards
    (tornado, hail, and wind), will continue over the next few hours
    mainly across northwestern Oklahoma.

    DISCUSSION...A severe MCS with a history of producing
    significant-severe wind gusts across southwestern Kansas is
    continuing to move eastward while semi-discrete supercells have
    formed at the southern end of the line producing tornadoes and large
    hail. The northern end of the MCS will encounter decreasing
    instability and increasing inhibition across south-central Kansas
    over the next couple of hours leading to eventual weakening of the
    northern end of the MCS. Meanwhile, larger instability and weaker
    inhibition into west-central Oklahoma will continue to promote
    supercell development at the southern end of the line with tornado
    and large-hail potential. The net effect should be more of a
    southeastward propagation of the MCS toward central Oklahoma with
    the most intense convection and supercellular characteristics at the
    southern end of the line over the next few hours.

    ..Jirak/Grams.. 06/16/2023

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!4JX0DmKYauJkZhF9nvc_QiRPYelmOrb3Vw_8gUCzvpfX8bZ5nbzvhF6daC4FVRqrtxCB92cWS= n0ix0Eq283tXagJVdU$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...ICT...OUN...DDC...AMA...

    LAT...LON 35770006 36229982 36919945 37479937 37729920 37769867
    37699816 37399794 36879780 36299766 35809758 35419777
    35239816 35279898 35489950 35770006=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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