1. Forum
  2. FidoNet
  3. WEATHER

  • MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1086

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Thu Jun 15 23:25:16 2023
    ACUS11 KWNS 152325
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 152324=20
    OHZ000-160030-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1086
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0624 PM CDT Thu Jun 15 2023

    Areas affected...portions of northern Ohio

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 310...311...

    Valid 152324Z - 160030Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 310, 311
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Strong storms including a persistent supercell may
    continue to pose an isolated severe risk for a few more hours across
    northern Ohio. Damaging winds, hail, and perhaps a tornado are
    possible.

    DISCUSSION...As of 2320 UTC, regional radar analysis showed a
    cluster of strong to severe storms over southern Lake Erie, and a
    persistent supercell ongoing across Ottawa and Sandusky counties in northwestern Ohio. Ahead of a mid-level speed max, these storms have intensified over the last hour with several reports of large hail
    and a confirmed tornado. The severe risk may continue for another
    few hours as storms continue eastward along the southern shore of
    Lake Erie into north-central and northeastern OH. Around 1000 J/kg
    of MLCAPE and 40-50 kt of effective shear observed from area VADs
    will continue to support updraft organization with a multi-cell and
    supercell mode. Storm organization is especially likely near the
    coast where the lake breeze may result in low-level updraft
    enhancement. Damaging winds appear to be the most likely threat
    given relatively modest surface dewpoints in the upper 50s F.
    However, with the persistent supercell already ongoing, some risk
    for large hail may continue. A tornado will also remain possible
    especially along the lake breeze where low-level shear and surface
    vorticity will be enhanced.

    ..Lyons/Grams.. 06/15/2023

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!9T0lHjKFkcll3coLODN1djVCGwffuk-jdMua39ggoBz9-p-EYodp-n1eDNbcbzPwaaH-i-gjS= TsEZD12Kl3y4A06MZM$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...CLE...

    LAT...LON 40968366 41118382 41478345 41978295 42048188 42128140
    42108099 41918089 41628089 41338097 40738250 40758326
    40878353 40968366=20


    =3D =3D =3D
    To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

    --- SBBSecho 3.14-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)