ACUS11 KWNS 151348
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 151348=20
GAZ000-FLZ000-ALZ000-151445-

Mesoscale Discussion 1067
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0848 AM CDT Thu Jun 15 2023

Areas affected...Portions of far southeastern AL...southwestern
GA...and the FL Panhandle

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch needed soon=20

Valid 151348Z - 151445Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent

SUMMARY...Severe threat should continue to increase this morning.
New Tornado Watch issuance will be needed soon.

DISCUSSION...Thunderstorms are occurring across far southeastern AL
into southwestern GA this morning. This activity is occurring along
and just north of an instability gradient, with daytime heating and
low-level moistening also occurring ahead of these thunderstorms.
Strong deep-layer shear will continue to support a threat for
supercells. Sufficient low-level shear will also foster some
potential for updraft rotation, and a threat for a few tornadoes.
Large hail and damaging winds may also occur. Additional robust
thunderstorms may develop farther south in the FL Panhandle in the
modest low-level warm advection regime. Given the increasing severe
threat, new Tornado Watch is warranted.

..Gleason/Thompson.. 06/15/2023

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!6jybYoMlLsAARaEFIVEpadkPuPsBJvsFIj-MWTWI2KdkQ0Nsa6FsCJAwYWLe2lXYt2nbi25Zt= Y0_CeYtpyzGtQX5-38$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...TAE...

LAT...LON 31458569 31658505 31758467 31748385 31638334 31338329
30248338 29888353 30178569 31458569=20


=3D =3D =3D
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