ACUS11 KWNS 140011
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 140010=20
ARZ000-LAZ000-TXZ000-OKZ000-140145-

Mesoscale Discussion 1025
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0710 PM CDT Tue Jun 13 2023

Areas affected...Arklatex Region

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 285...

Valid 140010Z - 140145Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 285
continues.

SUMMARY...Hail is the primary risk with storms this evening.

DISCUSSION...Low-level warm advection continues to be the primary
instigator in convective initiation across northeast TX early this
evening. 850mb flow has veered into the southwest across
north-central TX which is influencing a more eastward evolution of
maturing updrafts. Multiple hail reports have been noted with the
stronger updrafts and at least a half dozen storms, within a larger
cluster of convection, appear capable of generating hail in excess
of 1 inch in diameter. Convection should continue to spread east
along the AR/LA border into the mid-evening hours.

..Darrow.. 06/14/2023

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!6M0h87xGxFauNwSgShb4mDowvbuEwk7Dbeh8GwsFoNY74851YbZK49M65IjXQc-biE3kKClJ-= dTZR65FimjdD37MXWU$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...JAN...LZK...SHV...FWD...

LAT...LON 32079538 33809537 34559158 32829158 32079538=20


=3D =3D =3D
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