• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1024

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Tue Jun 13 23:58:19 2023
    ACUS11 KWNS 132358
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 132357=20
    TXZ000-140100-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1024
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0657 PM CDT Tue Jun 13 2023

    Areas affected...Portions of the Texas Panhandle

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 283...

    Valid 132357Z - 140100Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 283
    continues.

    SUMMARY...A supercell with very large hail (perhaps wind-driven)
    will persist through the evening.

    DISCUSSION...A long-lived supercell continues southeast across the
    Texas Panhandle. This storm has a history of producing large to very
    large hail (as large as 4 inches near Dalhart). The downstream
    environment remains similar with around 1500 J/kg MUCAPE and
    effective shear around 70 knots. This should continue to support a
    sustained, strong supercell through the evening with a threat for
    large hail. While no severe wind reports have been received, the
    reflectivity structure is analogous to past wind-driven hail
    supercells.

    ..Bentley.. 06/13/2023

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!7SWFpyl7twRd_WRvRC89vePqM8IgcjoT4zHwdCVxc9bnoiuGoX0lj1E9IaqY2ZsCLw4QLmrSu= qWr59kra-sB88Eeae4$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...AMA...

    LAT...LON 35280000 35020001 35070076 35250163 35640195 35890183
    36070143 35900006 35280000=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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