ACUS11 KWNS 100304
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 100304=20
TXZ000-100500-

Mesoscale Discussion 0962
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1004 PM CDT Fri Jun 09 2023

Areas affected...The Trans Pecos into the Edwards Plateau

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 100304Z - 100500Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...A few severe thunderstorms are expected to persist into
the evening hours.

DISCUSSION...A few thunderstorms which developed in the vicinity of
the Davis Mountains this afternoon have intensified as they moved
east toward the better low-level moisture. Ascent associated with a
shortwave trough aloft may help these storms persist as they
continue east toward gradually increasing instability. Therefore,
these storms may maintain occasional severe intensity for another
few hours with a threat for both large hail and severe wind gusts.=20

In addition, stronger storms over the Sierra del Burro mountains in
Mexico could cross the Rio Grande near Del Rio and maintain severe intensity.=20

While a few marginally severe storms are possible for the next few
hours, a watch is not anticipated due to the relatively marginal
intensity and limited duration of the threat.

..Bentley/Hart.. 06/10/2023

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!6Inf0QUSsOx6PxEYJOwk33E1GCVq2EBj2RHjv2d7wcq-04e7x4JP88Gr5f8LvQaJUU3sW2FIF= RK6nZhjTKlrk6Sv46I$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...CRP...EWX...SJT...MAF...

LAT...LON 29740208 30670207 31670081 31699995 31579938 31029885
29969896 29899895 28839929 28229955 27890016 28380102
29490188 29740208=20


=3D =3D =3D
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