ACUS11 KWNS 082014
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 082014=20
TXZ000-082145-

Mesoscale Discussion 0955
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0314 PM CDT Thu Jun 08 2023

Areas affected...Portions of central/southern Texas

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 260...

Valid 082014Z - 082145Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 260
continues.

SUMMARY...A threat for severe hail and damaging winds will continue
through the afternoon, especially across the southern portion of
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 260. Confidence is low for the need of a
downstream watch.

DISCUSSION...Convection-allowing models have struggled with the
convective evolution across this region today, reducing confidence
in the expected evolution over the next few hours. The
severe-hail-producing storm in Bexar County has recently weakened,
and the outflow continues to surge southward with some storms trying
to develop to the north of the outflow. Some CAMs have indicated
continued development along and behind the outflow on the west end
of the ongoing storm, but confidence in that scenario is decreasing. Nevertheless, an isolated severe hail and wind threat will continue,
and convective trends will be monitored for the need of a downstream
watch.

..Jirak/Grams.. 06/08/2023

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!8KO3GpwFA1FW67DE79dmbJf1kKpdatbpPPzyeCE9MUqhYuP5RYDDrOojwXaDzpjQQFhGiTHfO= p4PwQN2omaNVd_OMaU$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...HGX...CRP...EWX...

LAT...LON 29269878 29679855 29679823 29859782 29749752 29599726
29049685 28719687 28319756 28299810 28339842 28749864
29269878=20


=3D =3D =3D
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