ACUS11 KWNS 272203
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 272203=20
KSZ000-COZ000-280000-
Mesoscale Discussion 0886
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0503 PM CDT Sat May 27 2023
Areas affected...East-central Colorado into west-central Kansas
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20
Valid 272203Z - 280000Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent
SUMMARY...Large hail and isolated damaging winds are possible into
early evening with a small cluster of storms in east-central
Colorado.
DISCUSSION...A cluster of storms with occasional supercell
characteristics continues northeastward in east-central Colorado.
Dewpoints have mixed out to the low to mid 50s F, supportive of
around 1000 J/kg MLCAPE. Effective shear is a modest 30-35 kts, but
will be sufficient to maintain some potential for additional
rotating updrafts. The primary threats will be large hail and
isolated damaging winds. While the low-level hodographs are not
particularly large, discrete storms that persist to near the Kansas
border will eventually be impacted by modestly increasing 850 mb
southeasterly winds. A narrow window for a brief tornado will exist
over the next couple of hours should storms maintain intensity.
..Wendt/Grams.. 05/27/2023
...Please see
https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!88pcsQ5iLrcQ4d598t-MgIpnO6igCuqVaDmkQIJDFC1AfUUNvzbLtugU6qVhAxOb-Qc9lekHC= 5SjW6prbQuCAjISrxw$ for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...GLD...PUB...BOU...
LAT...LON 38060321 38540338 38980302 39130210 38860159 38550164
38080238 38020291 38060321=20
=3D =3D =3D
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