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  • MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0880

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sat May 27 02:54:24 2023
    ACUS11 KWNS 270254
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 270253=20
    TXZ000-NMZ000-270500-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0880
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0953 PM CDT Fri May 26 2023

    Areas affected...much of eastern New Mexico...and southwest into
    west Texas

    Concerning...Tornado Watch 241...

    Valid 270253Z - 270500Z

    The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 241 continues.

    SUMMARY...The threat for mainly large hail and localized wind damage
    is expected to persist from portions of eastern New Mexico into
    western Texas, and a new watch may be needed prior to 04Z. A brief
    tornado cannot be ruled out.

    DISCUSSION...Slow-moving, meandering storms persist over mainly two
    areas. The first is over east-central NM near western portions of an
    old outflow boundary. This area of convergence intersects an axis of instability extending north out of southwest TX. Gusty southeasterly
    surface winds are maintaining boundary-layer mixing, and helping to
    keep surface temperatures relatively warm, up to around 80 F.

    Another more active area has been over southwest TX, where numerous
    storms persist, some splitting. Recently, a storm or two has shown
    signs of hail over 2.00" diameter.

    Given the aforementioned boundary-layer mixing, and ample/deep
    moisture profiles, convective inhibition should remain low enough
    for storms to persist for several more hours. As such, a new watch
    will need to be considered for later tonight.

    ..Jewell.. 05/27/2023

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!_7fnqRTqjaIeUiQCHdWKGBrOju6HQ7u4gao6pCwS8kb9PxT2qbZkWNCSkGE0nPNcvNl-m2vuD= YUzKyF6a3ji6GLe0RY$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...SJT...LUB...AMA...MAF...ABQ...

    LAT...LON 29760255 29700279 29640321 29910385 30360448 31040470
    32170474 33570484 34250524 34730527 34950487 35070403
    34960331 34740277 34450232 34290209 31970202 29760255=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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