ACUS11 KWNS 252250
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 252249=20
TXZ000-260045-

Mesoscale Discussion 0867
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0549 PM CDT Thu May 25 2023

Areas affected...Trans-Pecos/Big Bend

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 237...

Valid 252249Z - 260045Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 237
continues.

SUMMARY...An isolated threat for large hail and damaging winds will
likely persist for another 2-3 hours.

DISCUSSION...The strongest activity within WW 237 remains a
supercell moving southeast, south of Marfa. However, this storm has
shown a weakening trend on the MRMS 7 and 9 km CAPPI. With storm
outflow pushing into the Davis Mountains, the most likely areas for
additional storm development will be along that outflow boundary
arcing westward from the weakening storm. There will be a very
modest increase in the low-level jet in the region. It does not
appear likely, though, that convective coverage will increase given
that nocturnal stabilization will have begun prior to the jet
strengthening. The overall severe threat is expected to remain
somewhat isolated, with large hail and damaging winds the primary
threats over the next 2-3 hours.

..Wendt.. 05/25/2023

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!-vDk4C1BWolmXwsRNPZQszK9nEc55_LcxU0kXwLUaILpE7fgpgkuyjE1OFmMvghDMeNFKRSt1= RkHmYFShCQ65ixBDHQ$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MAF...EPZ...

LAT...LON 30660331 30890388 30880432 31020468 31060498 30750507
30620496 30210482 29620443 28980345 28940314 29300265
29800265 30660331=20


=3D =3D =3D
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