ACUS11 KWNS 250727
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 250726=20
TXZ000-NMZ000-250930-

Mesoscale Discussion 0863
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0226 AM CDT Thu May 25 2023

Areas affected...Southeast New Mexico...West Texas

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 236...

Valid 250726Z - 250930Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 236
continues.

SUMMARY...A threat for large hail and wind damage will likely
continue for a couple more hours. However, the threat should become
more isolated with time and additional weather watch issuance is not
expected.

DISCUSSION...The latest high-resolution radar imagery from Lubbock
shows several supercells embedded in a cluster of strong to severe
storms from near the New Mexico-Texas state line extending to just
southwest of Lubbock. The storms are associated with a subtle
shortwave trough riding eastward over the top of an upper-level
ridge. The cluster is located behind an outflow boundary that is
surging southward across west Texas. Although instability is weak,
moderate deep-layer shear is evident on RAP analysis, with 0-6 km
shear mostly between 35 and 40 knots across much of west Texas. The
storms should remain organized in this environment for another hour
or two, moving east-southeastward across west Texas. Rotating cells
could produced isolated large hail. Wind damage will also be
possible. The severe threat should become isolated as instability
weakens, and the outflow boundary continues to surge southward.

..Broyles.. 05/25/2023

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!91vm5P5fRBFufti5aNuEbc4KBFlvSulUS2Hv-lTrLafKavUx6QiHIA5ZRvOYPamaU8c7Apgat= 4LCtDJC-KiH-9_xBqI$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LUB...MAF...ABQ...

LAT...LON 33840316 33670214 33380145 33150126 32820121 32630133
32520167 32560200 32750252 33110319 33290341 33450355
33640358 33780350 33860338 33840316=20


=3D =3D =3D
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