ACUS11 KWNS 232356
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 232355=20
TXZ000-OKZ000-240100-

Mesoscale Discussion 0849
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0655 PM CDT Tue May 23 2023

Areas affected...portions of north west Texas

Concerning...Severe potential...Severe Thunderstorm Watch likely=20

Valid 232355Z - 240100Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent

SUMMARY...Severe threat to continue downstream of WW233. A watch
will likely be needed within the next hour.

DISCUSSION...Storms ongoing in WW233 are starting to grow upscale
along developing outflow and are expected to continue before moving
southeast into portions of north-west Texas. As this occurs, threat
will gradually transition from hail to damaging winds. Mostly sunny
skies and daytime heating and dew points in the 60s have supported
an axis of MLCAPE around 2000-2500 J/kg, which will allow
maintenance and upscale growth of ongoing storms well downstream
through the evening. A watch southeast of WW233 will be needed
within the next hour.

..Thornton/Edwards.. 05/23/2023

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!6e4OowkHWkkRj0mL0_ms1VhqIw8R02TbynRZY0T7qv5RDGuNxly9ZA9zcN9r5fqBt9XIbFbOF= kvWWSZFHAVVITsT4hs$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...EWX...SJT...LUB...MAF...

LAT...LON 34550089 34690084 34720042 34579990 34209940 33999909
33599838 33319814 32799805 32349798 31729794 31349798
31079813 30929835 30919868 30899891 30969915 31079954
31149968 31199986 31300003 31590030 32180060 34550089=20


=3D =3D =3D
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