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  • MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0848

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Tue May 23 23:26:24 2023
    ACUS11 KWNS 232326
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 232325=20
    TXZ000-NMZ000-240130-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0848
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0625 PM CDT Tue May 23 2023

    Areas affected...southern Texas Panhandle and South Plains

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 233...

    Valid 232325Z - 240130Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 233
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Large-hail and gusty-wind threat continues within WW233.

    DISCUSSION...A mix of discrete supercells and multicell clusters are
    ongoing along and east of the dryline across the Texas Panhandle
    into portions of southwest Texas, producing large hail. Recent
    reports of hail up to 2 inches were noted along the Texas/New Mexico
    border. Discrete cells ongoing west of Lubbock have intensified
    quickly on radar, with potential for very large hail likely
    exceeding 2 inches in some areas. Cell splits and interactions with
    area outflow boundaries will likely keep storm mode fairly mixed,
    with discrete cells becoming clusters/outflow dominant. Interactions
    with surface vorticity along boundaries and mergers may allow a
    tornado, though environmental low-level shear and moisture are
    marginal. The main threats will continue to be large hail and
    occasional gusty winds, before outflow mergers lead to upscale
    growth and transition to damaging-wind threat later this evening.

    ..Thornton/Edwards.. 05/23/2023

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!6WGuOqdSUD_1T4vtj738mPSI7o0dXDxa_oTEhyse4O1WxB9OkalyiSgP5UgCr_WOnhcUv8ATk= PHza1Mxz3x0hR964Sc$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...LUB...AMA...MAF...ABQ...

    LAT...LON 33690266 34150306 35090304 35130272 35000215 34840173
    34640155 34370126 34040110 33740105 32940104 32450099
    32230104 32140148 32120193 32150220 32200244 32270253
    32560244 33020238 33420244 33690266=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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