1. Forum
  2. FidoNet
  3. WEATHER

  • MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0847

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Tue May 23 20:50:07 2023
    ACUS11 KWNS 232049
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 232049=20
    TXZ000-232145-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0847
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0349 PM CDT Tue May 23 2023

    Areas affected...,portions of the upper Texas Gulf Coast

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

    Valid 232049Z - 232145Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

    SUMMARY...A persistent storm and some additional convection may pose
    a risk for a few damaging gusts and hail this afternoon. A weather
    watch is unlikely.

    DISCUSSION...As of 2040 UTC, regional radar showed a persistent
    thunderstorm over parts of Montgomery County TX. Located ahead of a
    remnant MCV and along an air mass boundary, this storm has shown
    occasional organization with a recent gusts to 44 and 42 kt recorded
    near Huntsville, and Conroe, TX respectively. Ahead of the storm, a sufficiently unstable air mass with 1000-1500 J/kg of MLCAPE will
    likely allow for continued updraft maintenance. Additional
    convective development was noted ahead of this storm this afternoon
    suggesting some upscale growth is possible. Vertical shear is weak
    at 20-25 kt. However, enhanced convergence south of the MCV and
    along the air mass boundary may support a low-end risk for damaging
    wind gusts and some marginally severe hail as these storms move
    across the Houston Metro over the next couple of hours. Given the
    limited convective coverage a weather watch is unlikely.

    ..Lyons/Grams.. 05/23/2023

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!5bmV5-YJpfjrioMUvrXL1CrPIs2xDFMt-ysJJUEJx0qK_e6xcHFOY6GAMiHeQYxNEp_GVhTzr= Q5selEsUrbdYvf_sws$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...HGX...

    LAT...LON 30559562 30639553 30519530 30379512 30089493 29739481
    29349475 29179480 28899507 29109519 29549553 29909565
    30369565 30559562=20


    =3D =3D =3D
    To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

    --- SBBSecho 3.14-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)