• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0826

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Fri May 19 22:49:49 2023
    ACUS11 KWNS 192249
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 192249=20
    TXZ000-200015-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0826
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0549 PM CDT Fri May 19 2023

    Areas affected...portions of northern and central Texas

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 228...

    Valid 192249Z - 200015Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 228
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Severe threat continues within WW228.

    DISCUSSION...Radar analysis shows ongoing storms within WW228 near
    the Metroplex have weakened as remnant outflow has begun to drift
    back to the west and storms move into relatively less MLCAPE beneath
    some shallow mid-level CIN. These storms will still be capable of
    occasional hail and gusty winds as they continue eastward as a few
    more hours of daytime heating can be expected.=20

    Within the southern fringe of the watch, more robust storms are
    ongoing with further development expected along the border with
    WW229. In this region, MLCAPE around 2000-2500 J/kg and deep layer
    shear around 30-35 kts will support a continued risk of large hail
    (with a few instances up to 2+ inches) and damaging winds over the
    next couple of hours.

    ..Thornton/Guyer.. 05/19/2023

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!-bc5M0mdTuhAB_Yy9G6KMaFO62QFvFXIe35Nf4wPd0cVbeuQfETxU-dmNG7ky3blfqyC7jfzV= hOPzEH5qpqosFvf1SM$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...SHV...FWD...EWX...SJT...

    LAT...LON 31419907 31879822 32559743 33099695 33239650 33239615
    33179565 32989559 32729575 32509591 32289609 31549679
    30899733 30879768 31309905 31419907=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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