• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0726

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Mon May 8 04:52:16 2023
    ACUS11 KWNS 080452
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 080451=20
    MOZ000-KSZ000-080645-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0726
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    1151 PM CDT Sun May 07 2023

    Areas affected...northeast KS...northwest MO

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 199...201...

    Valid 080451Z - 080645Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 199, 201
    continues.

    SUMMARY...The risk for isolated to widely scattered severe gusts
    (60-70 mph) will continue into the overnight.

    DISCUSSION...Radar mosaic shows a cluster of storms along the
    leading edge of a composite front/outflow from I-70 in northeast KS
    near Manhattan to St. Joseph, MO as of 1140pm. The ASOS at Falls
    City, NE and Beatrice NE observed 57-kt and 60-kt gusts,
    respectively in the last hour. A strong south-southwesterly 45-50
    kt LLJ has strengthened this evening and is aiding in moisture
    transport into the lower MO Valley. It is within this region from
    eastern KS into central MO where surface dewpoints have risen into
    the mid-upper 60s amidst a reservoir of strong instability (3000
    J/kg MUCAPE). Although deep-layer shear is modest (30-35 kt 0-6 km
    shear), sufficient organization of the cold pool for a couple of
    line segments will favor a continued risk for severe gusts with the
    stronger cores into the overnight.

    ..Smith.. 05/08/2023

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!9JE2XvVQmz0JSs-rgGvrSiXT0HExSFpLR3hxiGBhd7spn0mpGeMvHpUvOCaUxapK9aaKk0zIm= X4H00jMup8qBC3VMoA$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...EAX...TOP...

    LAT...LON 38939699 39169669 39379556 40039499 40089327 39859317
    39549336 39229436 38699544 38619666 38729694 38939699=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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