ABNT20 KNHC 231126
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sat May 23 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Adams/Cangialosi
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* Origin: Project Scorpio TEST (618:250/6)

ABNT20 KNHC 281137
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Jun 28 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Offshore of the Southeastern U.S. Coast:
A broad low pressure area is expected to form offshore of the
southeastern coast of the United States along the western end of a
frontal system on Monday or Tuesday. Gradual development of this
system is possible thereafter while it drifts westward.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven

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* Origin: Capitol City Online (618:250/10)

ABNT20 KNHC 291149
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Jun 29 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Offshore of the Southeastern U.S. Coast:
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located off the southeastern
U.S. coast are associated with an area of low pressure along a
frontal boundary. Environmental conditions only appear marginally
favorable for some tropical development over the next day or two as
the system drifts southward and then westward before conditions
become even less favorable later this week.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

$$
Forecaster Papin

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* Origin: Capitol City Online (618:250/10)

ABNT20 KNHC 291149
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Jun 29 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Offshore of the Southeastern U.S. Coast:
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located off the southeastern
U.S. coast are associated with an area of low pressure along a
frontal boundary. Environmental conditions only appear marginally
favorable for some tropical development over the next day or two as
the system drifts southward and then westward before conditions
become even less favorable later this week.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

$$
Forecaster Papin

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--- MultiMail/DOS
* Origin: Capitol City Online (618:250/10)

ABNT20 KNHC 011140
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Jul 1 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Beven

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* Origin: Capitol City Online (618:250/10)

ABNT20 KNHC 051117
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Jul 5 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster D. Zelinsky

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* Origin: Capitol City Online (618:250/10)

ABNT20 KNHC 121121
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Jul 12 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Hagen

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (618:250/10)

ABNT20 KNHC 161116
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Jul 16 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave located
southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands remain disorganized. Some slow
development is possible during the next day or two while the system
moves generally west-northwestward at about 10 mph. By this
weekend, the system is forecast to move into a less conducive
environment, and further development is not expected.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

Northeastern Gulf of America and Offshore of the Southeastern U.S.:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form this weekend over the
northeastern Gulf of America. Some gradual development of this
system is possible while it moves slowly northeastward over the
northeastern Gulf and near the coast of the southeastern United
States early next week.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven

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--- MultiMail/DOS
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (618:250/10)

ABNT20 KNHC 171141
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Jul 17 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A broad area of low pressure, associated with a tropical wave is
located about 175 miles southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands. The
low continues to produce a limited and disorganized area of showers
and thunderstorms while it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. Significant development of this system is not expected before
environmental conditions become even less favorable for development
over the weekend.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

Northeastern Gulf of America and Offshore of the Southeastern U.S.:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form this weekend over the
northeastern Gulf of America. Some gradual development of this
system is possible while it meanders over the northeastern Gulf,
northern Florida, or the extreme western Atlantic near northeastern
Florida early next week.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (618:250/10)

ABNT20 KNHC 191120
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Jul 19 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Northern Gulf of America and near Florida (AL91):
An area of low pressure located over the northeastern Gulf of
America continues to become better defined and the associated shower
and thunderstorm activity is gradually increasing. Continued
gradual development is expected, and a tropical depression is likely
to form later today or on Monday as the system moves slowly
northward or northwestward. Interests along the northern Gulf coast
from Florida, Alabama, Mississippi, and Louisiana should monitor
the progress of this system, as tropical storm watches or warnings
could be required for portions of the area later today. In
addition, this system is expected to bring heavy rains to portions
of the northern Gulf coast during the next several days. An Air
Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate
the low pressure area later today.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

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--- MultiMail/DOS
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (618:250/10)

ABNT20 KNHC 241120
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Jul 24 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (618:250/10)

ABNT20 KNHC 261127
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Jul 26 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Adams/Papin

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (618:250/10)

ABNT20 KNHC 021110
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Aug 2 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Hagen

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (618:250/10)

ABNT20 KNHC 071135
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Aug 7 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Berg

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (618:250/10)

ABNT20 KNHC 101158
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Aug 10 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic:
An area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south of the
Cabo Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. As this system moves slowly westward, a tropical wave
currently over west Africa is expected to merge with it in a couple
of days. Environmental conditions are forecast to be more conducive
for development by midweek, and a tropical depression could form
during the latter half of this week while the system moves westward
to west-northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

Central Tropical Atlantic:
A broad area of showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical
wave is located about midway between the coast of west Africa and
the Lesser Antilles. Some gradual development of this system is
possible through mid-week while it moves quickly westward across the
central tropical Atlantic. Upper-level winds are expected to become
less favorable for development later in the week as the system
approaches the Lesser Antilles.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

Western Subtropical Atlantic:
A trough of low pressure located a few hundred miles northwest of
Bermuda is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity.
Some development of this system is possible during the next couple
of days while it moves quickly eastward, well to the north of
Bermuda, across the western and central subtropical Atlantic. The
system is forecast to reach cooler waters later this week, ending
its chances of formation after Wednesday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

$$
Forecaster Adams/Pasch

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (618:250/10)

ABNT20 KNHC 111142
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Aug 11 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Central Tropical Atlantic:
Shower and thunderstorm activity is currently limited in association
with an area of low pressure located about 500 miles southwest of
the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions are forecast to
become more conducive for development during the next couple of
days, and a tropical depression will likely form during the latter
half of this week while the system moves westward to
west-northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

East of the Windward Islands:
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical
wave are located about 600 miles east of the Windward Islands. The
system is expected to encounter a large area of environmental dry
air as it approaches the Windward Islands, and development is not
expected. Locally heavy rains and gusty winds will be possible in
the Lesser Antilles during the next couple of days as the
disturbance moves through the area.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.

Central Subtropical Atlantic:
A trough of low pressure located several hundred miles northeast of
Bermuda is producing showers and thunderstorms. Some development of
this system is possible during the next day or so while it moves
eastward at around 20 mph across the central subtropical Atlantic.
The system is forecast to reach cooler waters later this week,
ending its chances of formation by Thursday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

$$
Forecaster Adams/Pasch

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (618:250/10)

ABNT20 KNHC 121151
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Aug 12 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92):
An area of showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave
is located about 900 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde
Islands. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for
development during the next couple of days, and a tropical
depression will likely form while the system moves westward to west-northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

Central Subtropical Atlantic (AL93):
An area of low pressure is located about 1050 miles east-northeast
of Bermuda. The circulation is elongated, and the associated
showers and thunderstorms are displaced to the east. The system is
producing an area of gale force winds to its south and east. Some
development of this system is still possible through tonight, and a short-lived tropical storm could form while it moves eastward to east-northeastward at around 20 mph across the central subtropical
Atlantic. The system is forecast to reach cooler waters by Thursday,
ending its chances of formation. Addition information on this system
is found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave just offshore of the coast of west Africa is
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental
conditions are forecast to be generally conducive for some
development of this system during the next several days while it
moves westward or west-northwestward across the eastern and central
tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

$$
Forecaster Adams/Katz/Pasch

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (618:250/10)

ABNT20 KNHC 131124
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Aug 13 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently
downgraded Tropical Depression Cristobal, located about 600 miles
west of the Azores.

Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92):
Showers and thunderstorms are showing signs of organization in
association with a tropical wave located about 1000 miles east of
the Lesser Antilles. This system will likely become a short-lived
tropical depression during the next day or two as it moves westward
across the tropical Atlantic. However, by late Friday, the system is
expected to move into a region of strong upper-level winds and dry
air, which should end its opportunity to develop. Interests in the
Lesser Antilles should monitor the progress of this system as gusty
winds and areas of heavy rain are possible Friday night and
Saturday, regardless of development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL94):
A tropical wave located a few hundred miles south-southwest of the
Cabo Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are forecast to be generally
conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression could
form late this week or this weekend while the wave moves westward or west-northwestward across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

&&

Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Cristobal are issued under
WMO header WTNT33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT3.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Cristobal are issued
under WMO header WTNT23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT3.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi/Adams

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (618:250/10)

ABNT20 KNHC 141122
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Aug 14 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92):
A tropical wave located about 400 miles east of the Windward Islands
is producing gusty winds and a large area of showers and
thunderstorms. This system is moving into a region of increasing
upper-level winds and dry air, and the potential of development
continues to decrease. Even though development is unlikely, gusty
winds and areas of heavy rain are possible across portions of the
Lesser Antilles tonight and on Saturday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL94):
A tropical wave over the central tropical Atlantic, located more
than 1000 miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands, continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are
forecast to be generally conducive for gradual development, and a
tropical depression could form this weekend or early next week while
the wave moves westward or west-northwestward across the central
tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi/Adams

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (618:250/10)

ABNT20 KNHC 151136
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sat Aug 15 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Southeastern Caribbean Sea (AL92):
A tropical wave over the southeastern Caribbean Sea is producing
gusty winds and an area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Development of this system is not expected due to strong upper-level
winds and dry air. Gusty winds and areas of heavy rain are still
possible across portions of the Lesser Antilles today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.

Central Tropical Atlantic (AL94):
A tropical wave over the central tropical Atlantic about midway
between the Cabo Verde Islands and the Lesser Antilles continues
to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Limited
development of this system is possible over the next day or two
before the system encounters strong upper-level winds to the east
of the Lesser Antilles.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

$$
Forecaster Berg

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (618:250/10)

ABNT20 KNHC 161140
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Aug 16 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Kelly

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (618:250/10)