1. Forum
  2. FidoNet
  3. WEATHER

  • MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0952

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Thu Jun 8 16:08:31 2023
    ACUS11 KWNS 081608
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 081608=20
    MDZ000-DEZ000-VAZ000-081845-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0952
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    1108 AM CDT Thu Jun 08 2023

    Areas affected...Portions of southern Delaware...southern New
    Jersey...and eastern Virginia

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

    Valid 081608Z - 081845Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

    SUMMARY...The threat for isolated severe hail and damaging winds
    will increase over the next few hours across portions of southern
    New Jersey, southern Delaware, and eastern Virginia. The storms are
    expected to move off the coast by 4 p.m. EDT. A severe thunderstorm
    watch is not expected.

    DISCUSSION...A shortwave trough rotating around the base of an
    upper-level closed low over Maine is helping to initiate
    thunderstorms across the area. Cool midlevel temperatures are
    contributing to relatively steep midlevel lapse rates and around 500
    J/kg of MLCAPE. Despite weak low-level flow, the DOX VWP is sampling
    nearly 40 knots of midlevel flow at midlevels, which will help with
    storm organization. The strongest storms will be capable of
    producing hail around 1 inch in diameter and damaging winds. As the
    shortwave trough progresses eastward the threat should move off the
    coast by 4 p.m. EDT. Given the marginal/isolated nature of the
    severe weather threat, a severe thunderstorm watch is unlikely.

    ..Jirak/Grams.. 06/08/2023

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!9mI_aFSunzGT_I51cCQnXZ5nBW_6kgxfCe9_yN45vOadA5R5EHKNUOZsPmQq0CrfZzFwa28lO= aD7cIqVL3OhWQv9hks$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...PHI...AKQ...LWX...

    LAT...LON 37377765 38097666 38577615 38787570 38777532 38667504
    38437499 38087506 37467554 37127586 36617590 36587647
    36877752 37377765=20


    =3D =3D =3D
    To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

    --- SBBSecho 3.14-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)