ACUS11 KWNS 061913
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 061912=20
UTZ000-IDZ000-NVZ000-CAZ000-062115-
Mesoscale Discussion 0942
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0212 PM CDT Tue Jun 06 2023
Areas affected...portions of northern California...north and central Nevada...and western Utah
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20
Valid 061912Z - 062115Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms may produce hail and gusty winds through the
afternoon.
DISCUSSION...Thunderstorm development has been noted across portions
of northern California, north-central Nevada, and northern Utah in
the last hour. Temperatures have warmed quickly with little cloud
cover through the morning. Modifying the 12z soundings from LKN and
SLC produces a deeply mixed boundary layer with steep lapse rates
through the profile. Surface objective analysis indicates MLCAPE
around 500 J/kg amid modest deep layer shear around 30-35 kts. This
environment will favor multi-cell clusters, with potential for a few
instances of severe wind and hail. Given the lack of deeper
moisture, the spatial extent of this threat will likely remain too
small for watch issuance.
..Thornton/Grams.. 06/06/2023
...Please see
https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!494I5DuS8acNzXDWEc6BYMxf_TzfGBZjoEx5vNAG96_WwRRgMTspuRXMTvfRBGnw1Zs8VW_50= gJeil_vsYtXG1zPefc$ for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...SLC...PIH...BOI...LKN...REV...HNX...STO...
LAT...LON 39242097 39812079 40511994 41091875 41611778 41831654
42161425 42121293 41811223 41551200 40891152 40231159
39821181 39481204 39371234 39571354 39571492 39391630
39231703 38851775 38241871 38201878 38051898 37981927
37931949 38122012 39242097=20
=3D =3D =3D
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