• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0861

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Thu May 25 03:38:38 2023
    ACUS11 KWNS 250338
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 250337=20
    TXZ000-NMZ000-250530-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0861
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    1037 PM CDT Wed May 24 2023

    Areas affected...far eastern New Mexico and northwestern Texas

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 236...

    Valid 250337Z - 250530Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 236
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Severe threat continues within WW236. Potential for large
    hail, damaging wind, and a tornado or two continues.

    DISCUSSION...An increase in the low-level jet has been noted in
    observations from KMAF and KLBB over the last couple of hours. An
    intense embedded supercell feature continues to move southward along
    the axis of strong MLCAPE within deep-layer shear around 50 kts.
    This has continued to produce strong gusts to around 60 mph and
    large hail around 1-2 inches. A thunderstorm just south of this has
    intensified quickly and will be merging with the larger complex. The
    threat for a tornado or two continues, as increasing low-level flow
    has led to more hodograph curvature in the bottom 1-2 km of noted at
    KLBB. This could be further aided by near storm
    interactions/mergers. Further development continues to be ongoing to
    the west of the lead cell, with potential for further training
    transient supercell development into the evening.

    ..Thornton/Edwards.. 05/25/2023

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!7UMlr9bvoCQNJ5q00b9AtXJ0TlA5QusZ6a34u_cufIA2xo1ZITF8DIJvlIxDzpjTogLm-CcKt= TTkI-gL7gASD62EKp0$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...LUB...AMA...MAF...ABQ...

    LAT...LON 34530166 34270119 33970114 33450138 33170156 32930177
    32830216 32820238 32830276 32900307 33010334 33150364
    33280372 33900388 33980388 34080393 34170396 34200397
    34470400 34670377 34830348 34940302 34960274 34820219
    34530166=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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