ACUS11 KWNS 271757
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 271756=20
FLZ000-272000-
Mesoscale Discussion 0638
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1256 PM CDT Thu Apr 27 2023
Areas affected...central portion of the FL Panhandle
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 174...
Valid 271756Z - 272000Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 174
continues.
SUMMARY...The threat for large to very large hail (1-3 inches in
diameter) and damaging gusts will likely accompany a supercell as it
moves east-northeast across the central part of the FL Panhandle
through 3-4pm EDT. A brief tornado is possible.
DISCUSSION...A long-lived discrete supercell has recently moved
ashore into the greater Panama City, FL vicinity from the shelf
waters in a favorable environment for organized storms. The KEVX
VAD data shows a favorable hodograph for storm-scale rotation but
KTLH 88D VAD data is noticeably weaker in 2-4 km flow (10 kt
weaker). Nonetheless, moderate buoyancy (1000-1500 J/kg MLCAPE)
with speed shear in the mid to upper levels, are combining to
support an environment favorable for large to very large hail.=20
Damaging gusts may also occur with with the precip-laden RFD as the
storm moves east-northeast over the next several hours.
..Smith.. 04/27/2023
...Please see
https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!_MXtZ-lwTOjF8JDLcfB8Dk95ubSSAlbZ4MCuk0-lmoOF7OQOaMJrH2HpDq911Kgp9bKXS5Ld9= IkStHegPROfS3756tM$ for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...TAE...
LAT...LON 30398579 30628471 30548450 30358458 30178577 30198593
30398579=20
=3D =3D =3D
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